China’s manufacturing sector expands again in October amid steady economic growth

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Manufacturing in China expanded last month, surveys released on Tuesday showed, indicating Beijing has more leeway to focus on safeguarding against asset price bubbles and carry out economic reforms rather than introduce measures to boost the nation’s slowing economy.

China’s official manufacturing purchasing managers’ index, which mainly reflects conditions at state-owned companies, came in much better than analysts expected at a more than two-year high of 51.2 last month, according to the National Bureau of Statistics and the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing.

A reading above 50 indicates expansion, while one below means contraction.

The previous month’s reading was 50.4.

He said the central bank would keep its current prudent monetary policy unchanged, refraining from further tightening of interest rates or measures to increase money supply.

China’s economy grew at the slowest pace in 25 years last year and the authorities are attempting to shift its growth model away from debt-fuelled development and traditional manufacturing towards the service sector and high-tech industries.

Zhou Hao, a Commerzbank economist, wrote in a research note that the significant improvement in the index was largely driven by rising commodity prices, reflecting massive speculation in China markets.

He noted the overall policy tone has turned less dovish in favour of tighter monetary policy as the economy was improving, but concerns remained over increasing asset bubbles.

More than 20 cities launched measures to curb housing prices early last month. China’s Politburo also held a meeting on October 28, stating preventing asset bubbles was a goal of monetary policy.

Zhao Qinghe, a senior statistician at the bureau, said on its website that the strong expansion was partly due to recovering demand, plus rising industrial prices thanks to Beijing’s efforts to retire obsolete production capacity.

However, he also pointed out that downward pressure remains as new exports orders dropped 0.9 to 49.2 and new imports orders fell to 49.9 from September’s 50.4.

The official purchasing managers’ index outside the manufacturing industry edged up by 0.3 percentage points last month to a high this year of 54, signalling a pickup in growth in the services sector.

The Caixin China General Manufacturing PMI, which is slanted towards smaller privately owned companies, gained to 51.2 in October, the highest since July 2014, from September’s 50.1, according to a separate survey compiled by Markit on Tuesday.

“Beyond that, however, the recovery is likely to stall as the boost from stimulus fades, re-exposing the structural drags that continue to weigh on the economy,” he said.

SOURCE:  South China Morning Post, Tuesday, 01 November, 2016

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Thomas D’Innocenzi is a highly accomplished, results-focused international consultant with extensive experience in global sourcing and business development worldwide to meet evolving business needs. Tom has proven ability in implementing and managing profitable global marketing and sourcing operations. He has extensive experience in international business development to accommodate rapid growth. Skilled in building top-performing teams, bench-marking performance, and developing organizations to improve efficiency, productivity, and profitability. Experienced transition leader and change agent. Tom founded Nova Advisors with the mission of providing expert Global Business Development consulting services for companies seeking to expand their market share as an independent consultant. Tom has a network of experts and advisors throughout the Asia-Pacific region and North America. His expertise includes business development, global sourcing, manufacturing, commodities, logistics, QA/QC, FDA, regulatory compliance, sustainability, and supply chain optimization. Tom is experienced in the medical device, apparel, consumer goods and technology services verticals helping companies advance their global sourcing capabilities and develop new markets through a local and sustained approach. Located in SE Asia and the United States, Tom expands market reach to drive sales. His global sourcing strategy includes directly negotiating with commodity suppliers, supply chain networks and distributors for optimal terms based on his expertise and first-hand knowledge of the players. Contact Tom to use his consulting service to increase your global market and make global sourcing profitable for you in the Asia Pacific Region and the United States. http://www.NovaAdvisors.com thomas@NovaAdvisors.com USA Direct: +1.904.479.3600 SINGAPORE: +65.6818.6396 THAILAND: +662.207.9269
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