China : Slower growth, but healthier economy

 

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For those worried about the domino effects of a slowing Chinese economy, Premier Li Keqiang’s report on government work may be a mixed blessing.

By lowering its 2015 growth target to “around 7 percent”, the government has apparently given in to the intensifying downward pressures. Which may seem particularly unsettling alongside last year’s 7.4 percent, already a 24-year low.

As Li acknowledged in Thursday’s report to the National People’s Congress, economy-wise, the country may face even greater difficulties this year than in 2014.

Indeed, none of the key indicators of economic health look as inspiring as they used to. Many foretell harsher times ahead.

But the state of the Chinese economy is far less gloomy than it is in doomsayers’ eyes. Even after the dramatic slowdown from the rapid double digit growth of previous decades, 7 percent will still be decent enough in a global context.

Decent speed remains crucial for China, because of its daunting regional disparities and population base. Which is why Li keeps emphasizing a “reasonable range”.

But just like the government’s decision to stop using GDP growth as a yardstick for evaluating the performance of local leaders, speed alone should no longer be the sole concern in evaluating the country’s economic well-being.

Double-digit growth was certainly impressive. But the disparity between speed and quality came at a cost. Severe haze and other omnipresent signs of pollution and ecological degradation are only one aspect of its negative side effects.

The new leadership’s rhetoric about a new normal should not be simply taken as adapting to the new reality of slower growth. As Li’s report demonstrated, it is more about maneuvering for healthier development, and that is balancing the speed and quality of growth.

While the past mode of growth has shown its conspicuous downside, the Chinese economic locomotive is far from running out of steam. Those predicting a coming “collapse” of the Chinese economy are wrong because they have substantially underestimated its strategic depth and inner flexibility. The other side of the coin regarding the striking disparities in the Chinese economic landscape is the existence of abundant new growth points.

Urbanization, for instance, will create new consumers by the millions. This year, Li pledged, the government will help more than 10 million rural residents become part of the urban population. That presents additional demand.

Not to mention such initiatives as encouraging small and micro businesses, improving services, increasing disposable incomes, and boosting security guarantees.

As long as the momentum is sustained, the price of the present slowdown will prove worth paying.

 

 

Source : China Daily | March 6, 2015

Thomas D’Innocenzi

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About thomasdinnocenzi

Thomas D'Innocenzi is a highly accomplished, results-focused senior international executive with extensive experience in global sourcing and market development worldwide to meet evolving business needs. Tom has proven ability in implementing and managing profitable global sourcing operations worldwide. Extensive experience in international market development operations to accommodate rapid growth. Skilled in building top-performing teams, benchmarking performance, and restricting organizations to improve efficiency, productivity, and profitability. Experienced transition leader and change agent. As principal of Nova Advisors, LLC I’ve assembled an exemplary team that brings with them the knowledge and experience gained from starting up a Global Sourcing program with multiple Fortune 500 companies as well as the largest supplier network throughout the Asia-Pacific region. We have experience and expertise in more than a thousand medical and pharmaceutical products in manufacturing and sourcing at the best value. The right product, the right price point and the right branding fueled these successes that resulted in double-digit growth for top line sales and bottom line net margins for our customers. What sets us apart: • Our reach includes a large network of suppliers & manufacturers spanning 13 countries in Asia-Pacific region • We understand the manufacturing process and the business of the supplier and the buyer • Our company culture is based on quality assurance and our process is based on local quality control Our commitment is to be your partner offering the best products and services at the lowest cost. Contact me to discuss how we can make the global marketplace work for you. thomas@novaadvisors.com In addition, I am open to discussing opportunities in global sourcing, international marketing & sales, logistics and medical/pharma in Thailand, Vietnam, Malaysia, Philippines & Japan. Aside from my work I enjoy piano, astronomy, physics, and assisting my daughters with their studies. SPECIALTIES: Global Sourcing, Supply Chain Management, Business Development, Marketing, Logistics, Global Networking, Market Development, Healthcare Solutions, Pharmaceuticals, Medical Devices, Technology, Asia, Southeast Asia, US and Canada
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