China August trade surplus up 77.8% on-year at record US$49.8b

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China’s trade surplus surged to a record US$49.8 billion in August, official data showed on Monday (Sep 8), as imports surprisingly fell for a second straight month while export growth slowed.

Imports fell 2.4 per cent year-on-year to US$158.6 billion, the General Administration of Customs announced, while exports increased 9.4 per cent to US$208.5 billion. Imports, which had declined 1.6 per cent in July, worsened further in August and failed to match the median forecast of a 2.7 per cent increase in a Wall Street Journal survey of 15 economists.

Export growth slowed from July’s gain of 14.5 per cent, but beat the median expectation of a gain of 9.2 per cent. The surplus, meanwhile, bested the previous all-time high of US$47.3 billion recorded last month. It also exceeded the median forecast of US$42 billion.

The results came on the heels of data showing softness in China’s economy during the current third quarter, leading economists to stress that authorities will likely take further steps to boost growth. Growth in manufacturing activity slowed in August, two closely watched surveys showed last week. In July, China’s bank lending plunged and growth in key indicators such as industrial production, retail sales and fixed asset investment slowed from the previous month.

PROPERTY WOES

Analysts say that China’s growth outlook is being weighed down by trouble in the country’s huge property sector – where new home prices in August posted their fourth consecutive month-on-month decline – and the waning effect of stimulus measures taken earlier this year to juice growth. “We expect the government to continue to roll out small, targeted easing measures to offset the ongoing property market correction,” Nomura economists said in a note reacting to the trade data.

China’s economy expanded a stronger-than-expected annualised 7.5 per cent in the April to June quarter, picking up from 7.4 per cent during January to April, which had been the worst since a similar expansion in July to September 2012.

The weak performance in the first quarter this year prompted authorities from April to begin introducing measures to boost economic growth through steps such as tax breaks for small enterprises, targeted infrastructure spending and lending incentives in rural areas and for small companies.

China’s property woes can be seen reflected in the past two months of weak imports, said Julian Evans-Pritchard, China economist at Capital Economics. “Slower import growth reflects cooling investment, particularly in the property sector, which has weighed on commodity demand,” he said in a note after the trade data release. “That said, the weakness in commodity imports has also been magnified by the sharp falls in commodity prices in recent months.”

Highlighting China’s importance as a global growth engine, the August trade data came as Japan announced earlier Monday that its economy, the world’s third largest, shrank a revised 7.1 per cent on an annualised basis in the April to June quarter – larger than earlier reported – after a sales tax increase dented consumer spending.

China in March set its annual growth target for 2014 at about 7.5 per cent, the same objective as last year. The economy grew 7.7 per cent in 2013, matching 2012’s result which was the worst since 1999.

 

Source : Channel News Asia | September 8, 2014

Thomas D’Innocenzi

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About thomasdinnocenzi

Thomas D’Innocenzi is a highly accomplished, results-focused international consultant with extensive experience in global sourcing and business development worldwide to meet evolving business needs. Tom has proven ability in implementing and managing profitable global marketing and sourcing operations. He has extensive experience in international business development to accommodate rapid growth. Skilled in building top-performing teams, bench-marking performance, and developing organizations to improve efficiency, productivity, and profitability. Experienced transition leader and change agent. Tom founded Nova Advisors with the mission of providing expert Global Business Development consulting services for companies seeking to expand their market share as an independent consultant. Tom has a network of experts and advisors throughout the Asia-Pacific region and North America. His expertise includes business development, global sourcing, manufacturing, commodities, logistics, QA/QC, FDA, regulatory compliance, sustainability, and supply chain optimization. Tom is experienced in the medical device, apparel, consumer goods and technology services verticals helping companies advance their global sourcing capabilities and develop new markets through a local and sustained approach. Located in SE Asia and the United States, Tom expands market reach to drive sales. His global sourcing strategy includes directly negotiating with commodity suppliers, supply chain networks and distributors for optimal terms based on his expertise and first-hand knowledge of the players. Contact Tom to use his consulting service to increase your global market and make global sourcing profitable for you in the Asia Pacific Region and the United States. http://www.NovaAdvisors.com thomas@NovaAdvisors.com USA Direct: +1.904.479.3600 SINGAPORE: +65.6818.6396 THAILAND: +662.207.9269
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